Posts by: Stephen Tolbert

2018 Braves ZiPs + Steamer Projections

Dan Syzmborski over at Fangraphs just released his ZiPS projections for the 2018 Atlanta Braves, meaning we now have the two main projection systems, ZiPS and Steamer, available. Steamer has historically been a little more conservative in it’s projections while ZiPS a little more generous. So combining the two into one projection is usually a decent baseline for understanding the current talent level. How much value you put in to what these systems say is…

Atlanta’s Best Chance of Landing Christian Yelich

It appears the Marlins are going to trade Christian Yelich. Given how Yelich reacted to the trades of Giancarlo Stanton, Marcell Ozuna, and Dee Gordon, and the fact that Miami is about to enter a full rebuild, this probably shouldn’t come as a surprise. But anytime a player as young, and talented, and cost-controlled as Yelich comes on the market, we should take notice. It just doesn’t happen that often. And with the news coming…

Quick Post: The Inconsistency of Julio Teheran

Julio Teheran has basically been an enigma from day one. Once the number one pitching prospect in all of baseball, Julio’s career can best be described as up and down. Since his first full season debut in 2013, here are his ERA/FIPs: 2013:  3.20/3.69 2014:   2.89/3.49 2015:  4.04/4.40 2016:   3.21/3.69 2017:  4.49/4.95   One year he’s an ace, the next he’s a back-of-the-rotation starter and everything in between. And we’ve all heard, read, and seen…

Christian Yelich or J.T. Realmuto?

While it’s been a slow, if not boring, off-season for baseball in general, it hasn’t been that for the Miami Marlins. It started with the sale of the team that finally allowed the franchise to separate itself from team owner Jeffrey Loria and bring in someone who wouldn’t embarrass the team on a daily bases. At least that was the plan. The new ownership, led by former Yankee great Derek Jeter, has had a remarkably…

Something Fun with Preston Tucker

If you have a life or friends or family of any kind, you may have missed it yesterday but Atlanta traded for OF Preston Tucker from the Houston Astros. The deal was for a PTBNL or cash considerations so I understand if the news didn’t exactly knock you off your feet but it did indeed happen. I have no idea how good a player Tucker is now or will be with Atlanta. He hit well…

Braves Need Another Outfielder?

The Braves made their first big move of the off-season on Saturday, trading Matt Kemp to the Los Angeles Dodgers for 4 players. This trade had very little baseball function, though Brandon McCarthy is interesting, as this was mostly swapping short-term debt for shorter-term debt. In short, Atlanta added money to 2018 to free up money in 2019. If you’re looking for further breakdown of this deal, Tommy already has you covered. That’s not what…

Braves Free-Agent Shopping List

Free agency is a dangerous game. For players, it’s amazing. After 6 years or so of having your wages suppressed by artificial rules, you finally get to take your skills to the open market. For teams, it’s usually an exercise in trying not to step on a landmine. With the evolution of analytics and projection systems, baseball has become smarter in how they spend their money, so it’s not the free-for-all it used to be.…