Posts by: Stephen Tolbert

Let’s Do Some 2018 Predictions

It’s Opening Day for the 2018 season and there is no hope in baseball like opening day hope. Anything and everything is possible on opening day. Regardless of the talent level, experience level, or expectation level of your favorite team, some part of you, however small, thinks this could be a special year. On opening day, every team in baseball *could* shock the world. Except Miami. They suck. For the Braves, this will probably be…

Looking at a Ronald Acuña Jr. Extension

As we get closer and closer to the end of spring training, the growing expectation is the Braves will start Ronald Acuna Jr. in AAA to begin the season. If you look at his numbers last year, his production this spring, and the current need for an upgrade in the outfield, that notion doesn’t make a lot of sense. Only when you view it through lens of baseball’s economic system does the idea even begin…

10 Best Decisions of the Hart/Coppy Era

Yesterday was part one of the series, looking at the 10 worst decisions in the John Hart-John Coppolella era. It wasn’t all doom and gloom though. There were some really good decisions made. Today we’re looking at the 10 best. You can click over to part one if you want to see the intro and stuff. We’re just diving right in today.   Deciding to Rebuild The decision that was made before all other decisions sometimes…

The 10 Worst Decisions of the Hart/Coppy Era

With games starting back up on Friday, we are officially reaching the end of the off-season. Spring Training 2018 is upon us, which means the 2018 regular season is just around the corner, and for Atlanta, a new start. After a scandal that rocked the organization to its core broke just after the season ended, Atlanta watched its farm system get re-shaped by penalties and sanctions and, consequently, decided to completely overhaul its front office.…

Freddie Freeman’s Incredible Plate Coverage

Freddie Freeman is amazing. You know that. He started out as more of a good player, posting a 117 wRC+ and around a 1.5 WAR per year his first few seasons. Since then though, he has legitimately become one of the five best hitters in baseball. Over his last five seasons, he has averaged a 146 wRC+ and produced 23 wins above replacement despite missing significant chunks of the year 2 out of the last…

2018 Braves ZiPs + Steamer Projections

Dan Syzmborski over at Fangraphs just released his ZiPS projections for the 2018 Atlanta Braves, meaning we now have the two main projection systems, ZiPS and Steamer, available. Steamer has historically been a little more conservative in it’s projections while ZiPS a little more generous. So combining the two into one projection is usually a decent baseline for understanding the current talent level. How much value you put in to what these systems say is…

Atlanta’s Best Chance of Landing Christian Yelich

It appears the Marlins are going to trade Christian Yelich. Given how Yelich reacted to the trades of Giancarlo Stanton, Marcell Ozuna, and Dee Gordon, and the fact that Miami is about to enter a full rebuild, this probably shouldn’t come as a surprise. But anytime a player as young, and talented, and cost-controlled as Yelich comes on the market, we should take notice. It just doesn’t happen that often. And with the news coming…